Who's fortune? Industrial lobbies in today's Russia
However historically powerful military-industrial lobby in Russia contests with natural resources lobby for superiority rights. It is an outline of the presidential elections 2008 competition. Two potential successors of president Putin represent different approaches to economy development in Russia. First Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Medevedev is a "native" of Gazprom. Another Prime Minister, Sergey Ivanov represents military-industrial complex.
"Third term party" calling to make constitutional changes which would allow Vladimir Putin to get reelected is identified with Igor Sechin, Deputy Head of the Presidential Executive Office and concurrently - "Rosneft"'s chairman. Needing to choose between counting on energy supply or rather on manufacturing industry Russia is facing yet another dilemma. Igor Sechin apparently advocates for sustaining the current status-quo - further development of "state capitalism" system, which incorporates leaders of the country's crucial holding companies into the government. Dmitry Medvedev is close to the liberals German Gref and Alexy Kudrin and political analysts associate him with the policies guided by these two ministers. In other words the competition ceases to be the conflict of departments and moves into the plane of ideology. It seems that Putin confronted by impossibility to reconcile two major groups in his circle - "rosneftyaniks" and "gazprom liberals" has started to look for the "third fulcrum". Pre-election struggle is becoming progressively acute. According to the analysts, conflicts in President's Putin surroundings, ambiguous results of the regional parliaments' elections contribute to the growing uncertainty around the future successor. The natural under such circumstances quest for compromise figures leads to the direction of candidates with less political authority and publicity.